Predicting the future evolution of scientific outputAbstract
In the past decade various efforts have been made to quantify scientific impact and in particular identify the mechanisms in play that influence its future evolution. The first step in this process is the identification of what constitutes scholarly impact and how it is measured. In this direction, various approaches focus on future citation count or h-index prediction, either at author or publication level, on fitting the distribution of citation accumulation or accurately identifying award winners, upcoming hot topics in research or academic rising stars. A plethora of different features have been contemplated as possible influential factors in this process and assorted machine-learning methodologies have been adopted to ensure timely and accurate estimations. In the present work, we provide an overview of the challenges arising in the field and a taxonomy of the existing approaches to identify the open issues that are yet to be addressed.Biography
Yannis Manolopoulos is Professor and Vice-rector of the Open University of Cyprus. He has been with the University of Toronto, the University of Maryland at College Park, the University of Cyprus and Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, where he served as Head of the Department of Informatics. He also served as Rector of the University of Western Macedonia in Greece, Head of his own department, and Vice-Chair of the Greek Computer Society. His research interest focuses in Data Management. He has co-authored 5 monographs published by Springer, 11 textbooks in Greek, as well as 350 journal and conference papers. He has received 14.000 citations from 2000 distinct academic institutions (h-index=51). He has also received 5 best paper awards from SIGMOD, ECML/PKDD, MEDES, and ISSPIT conferences and has been invited as a keynote speaker in 20 international events. He has served as the main co-organizer of several major conferences (among others): ADBIS 2002, SSTD 2003, SSDBM 2004, ICEIS 2006, EANN 2007, ICANN 2010, AIAI 2012, WISE 2013, CAISE 2014, MEDI 2015, ICCCI 2016, DAMDID 2016, CBI 2017, TPDL 2017, DASFAA 2018. He has also acted as an evaluator for funding agencies in Austria, Canada, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Estonia, EU, Hong-Kong, Georgia, Greece, Israel, Italy, Poland, and Russia. Currently, he serves in the Editorial Boards of (among others) The VLDB Journal, The World Wide Web Journal, The Computer Journal.